Property sector to improve in 2020 on positive consumer sentiment

KUALA LUMPUR: The overall performance of the property sector in Malaysia is deemed to have improved slightly in terms of transactions following the government’s initiatives to enable more Malaysians to buy their first house.

Malaysian Institute of Estate Agents (MIEA) CEO Soma Sundram Krishnasamy said based on a technical study, the sector, which has been declining since 2012, has been on a rebound since the end of 2018.

“The signs are showing a stabilising market for the property sector where 1H19 was better than 1H18.

“With the Home Ownership Campaign (HOC) initiated by the government, we are of the view that the sector is on a recovery mode but at a slower pace,” he said.

Soma Sundram said the residential property segment had been looking good up to the first half of this year but the full-year performance will only be known in April 2020 when the National Property Information Centre (NAPIC) report is out.

Elaborating on the HOC, he said any discounts and incentives given were merely to help reduce the cost for buyers but the challenge lies in the location where the houses are built.

Most of the houses are not in strategic places, imposing additional problems to the targeted Bottom 40 (B40) income group, he said.

He said due to the unsuitable locations, most people have shied away from buying, resulting in the property overhang in the country.

According to statistics provided by Nawawi Tie Leung Property Consultants Sdn Bhd, as of 2Q19, the number of overhang units in Malaysia was estimated at 52,666 – 32,810 residential units; 18,186 serviced apartment units; and 1,670 small office home office (SOHO) units.

“We strongly advise that whatever product (houses) that developers and the government want to build for the B40, there must be a market and feasibility study including on the size, public amenities and services, environment and such.

“Do it properly and do a balancing act. Don’t simply jump on the bandwagon and follow the trend of building houses for this group just for the sake of it,” said Soma Sundram.

He also said as the government is planning to withdraw the subsidy on petrol prices, this will cause more problems for the people as travel would be further and costlier, while living standards continue to increase and salaries stay stagnant.

While the industrial and factory segments are resilient and are currently sustaining, the office segment has been quite flat, he noted.

“The supply (of offices) now is not that much depending on the area. KLCC rental is expensive and so a lot of them (companies) are coming out to relocate to where rentals are lower.

“There is movement coming out from there. However, some of the ‘big’ guys – multinationals and international companies – are coming into KLCC, new buildings … taking up large spaces,” he said.

NAPIC reported that in 1H19, the property sector recorded a 6.9% improvement in volume of transactions to 160,172 units from 149,862 units in 1H18.

The value of transactions increased by 0.8% to RM68,301 from RM67,735 in the same period.

Soma Sundram also noted that co-working spaces are also gaining traction, especially in main cities, by the younger generation who work from home or do not rent office space.

“Co-working spaces have a growing demand as they are seen as a trend, and they seem to like this kind of place where they can sit down and have discussions and do their work comfortably,” he said.

Commenting on the drivers that would improve the property sector, he said consumers’ confidence is a key factor.

“Some people in Malaysia do have money but they were adopting a wait-and-see approach – with the general election, the government’s new policies etc. taking place.

“Now the confidence level is slowly building up again. People will come back and put money in, but they are just waiting for the right moment,” said Soma Sundram.

He noted that although there has been a 10%-20% decline in house prices in certain locations especially in the outskirts of cities throughout the country, prices in main townships have remained unchanged.

In addition, the quality and percentage of B40 transactions have also improved since the government has been giving incentives.

“This happens because of the criteria that Bank Negara Malaysia has put in, for example, those who want to buy a house, they must meet one-third of their net income and not one-third of their gross income.

“Malaysians now have accepted the fact that if they want to get a housing loan, they must meet the criteria, and that has helped improve the quality of applicants,” he said.

Meanwhile, PropertyGuru International (M) Sdn Bhd (PropertyGuru Malaysia) country manager Sheldon Fernandez remained neutral for the sector this year, tracking the property market index from house owners’ asking prices put up on its website and consumers’ sentiment from its surveys.

He said a year-on-year decrease of 0.9% was recorded in terms of asking price this year, which is expected to carry on in the year 2020.

However, he said, it is difficult to specifically determine how the sector would perform in 2020 as it would depend on how the impact of initiatives such as the Rent-To-Own (RTO) financing scheme and a lower RM600,000 foreign property ownership threshold under the 2020 Budget would kick in.

“Market players still prefer to adopt a wait-and-see approach in 1H20 before taking the right move in the rest of the year.

“But sentiment has remained positive as we saw potential buyers still intending to purchase properties, although actions to buy still remain slow as they still want to wait and see the market’s performance first.

“Nonetheless, with the rebound for the sector slowly taking place, we think the situation would be better in 2H20. Hence, we maintain a neutral outlook for next year,” he said. – Bernama

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