WITH the 15th General Election (GE15) being only 24 hours away, EMIR Research has rolled out a potential election outcome with the Pakatan Harapan (PH) coalition snapping up 94 of the 165 parliamentary seats in Peninsular Malaysia (altogether 222 seats nationwide).
The independent think tank helmed by former Bersatu co-founder and supreme council member Datuk Dr Rais Hussin further expects Barisan Nasional (BN) to win 46 seats followed by Perikatan Nasional (PN) with 24 and Gerakan Tanah Air (GTA) a sole seat in Langkawi.
“There are 41 ‘close call’ seats (±1,000 majority),” revealed Rais who has since become a PKR member on Oct 13. “The above projections are based on a turnout rate of 77%. This turnout rate was derived based on poll aggregation that includes EMIR Research own projections.”
Of the major shocks from the projected GE15 outcome is that of UMNO president and Barisan Nasional (BN) chairman Datuk Seri Ahmad Zahid Hamidi failing to defend his Bagan Datuk constituency (close call) which he first won in 1995 to PKR-PH’s giant slayer, Datuk Shamsul Iskandar Md Akin, who is renowned for dethroning former Melaka menteri besar Tun Mohd Ali Rustam in GE13.
As a saving grace, Zahid’s deputy and former Negri Sembilan menteri besar Datuk Seri Mohamad Hasan is expected to win ‘comfortably’ in Rembau – a seat previously held by caretaker health minister Khairy Jamaluuddin who has since been ‘parachuted’ to Sungai Buloh.
Interestingly, MCA president Datuk Seri Wee Ka Siong – the only MCA parliamentary victor in GE14 – is also poised to lose his Ayer Hitam seat to his PH rival Sheikh Omar Ali albeit the race being a ‘close call’.
Likewise, lady luck will also not be smiling at both MIC president Tan Sri S.A. Vigneswaran (Sungai Siput) and his deputy Datuk Seri M. Saravanan (Tapah) with both expected to concede defeat to their PH rivals.
Elsewhere, Penang (12 out of 13 seats), Selangor (19 out of 22 seats) and Federal Territory (Kuala Lumpur) (10 out of 12 seats) are expected to see an almost ‘clean sweep’ by PH while PN (through PAS) is expected to dominate Kelantan (10 out of 14 seats), Terengganu (six out eight seats) and Perlis (two out of three seats). – Nov 18, 2022
