SINGAPORE’S economic contraction is expected to have moderated in the fourth quarter (4Q), as the city-state lifted more COVID-19-related curbs due to a drop in local infections.
The country’s gross domestic product (GDP) is seen falling 4.5% from the same period a year earlier, according to the median forecast of economists in a Reuters poll, marking the fourth straight quarter of decline.
The economy had shrunk 5.8% in the third quarter.
The Southeast Asian trade and travel hub has been hit hard by local virus-related restrictions, border closures around the world and the sluggish global economy.
Singapore’s economy is likely to contract between 6% and 6.5% this year, marking its worst recession, and grow 4% to 6% in 2021, according to official forecasts.
The city-state began its COVID-19 vaccination programme on Wednesday, and has progressively been easing social distancing curbs as local cases dwindle, even though borders remain largely shut.
“(There is) some slight improvement in 4Q momentum due to the pickup in domestic economic activities, including food and beverage (F&B) and retail during the festive holidays with Singaporeans unable to travel,” said OCBC Bank head of treasury research and strategy Selena Ling.
The Singaporean government has spent about S$100 bil (RM304.9 bil) or 20% of its GDP, in virus-related relief to support households and businesses.
The central bank left monetary policy unchanged at its last meeting in October and said its accommodative stance would remain appropriate for some time.
Additionally, Singapore’s finance minister Heng Swee Keat today stated today that he will deliver the fiscal year 2021 budget on Feb 16, 2021. – Dec 31, 2020
