Tech future: Has the tech sector upside all but priced in?

AMID diminishing appeal, AmResearch has maintain its “neutral” recommendation on the technology sector as it believes that multi-year growth riding on positive prospects has been fairly priced in.

Nevertheless, the research house said it may upgrade its recommendation to “overweight” if:

  • Companies under its coverage secure significant jobs and/or major customers;
  • Strengthening of the US dollar outlook;
  • Faster-than-expected adoption of technological trends such as 5G, spurring high demand for end products; and
  • Improvement in US-China trade relations which will help to reduce market uncertainty.

On the contrary, AmResearch may downgrade its stance to “underweight” if:

  • Weak economic conditions and supply chain impacts caused by the delay in containing COVID-19 cases globally which leads to prolonged restrictions and higher costs;
  • Margin erosion in the face of a weakening greenback;
  • Worsening trade war ties between the US and China, specifically relating to technology and intellectual property; and
  • Worsening local COVID-19 cases which disrupt production.

According to the research house, the sector’s positive prospects arise from increased demand for semiconductors relating to the following trends:

  • Adoption of 5G smartphones and increased investment in expanding 5G infrastructure globally;
  • Electric vehicles (EVs) and autonomous driving with more interest on new technologies using materials such as silicon carbide (SiC) and galium nitrite (GaN) as well as growth in smart sensors; and
  • Adoption of Industry 4.0 technologies such as big data, automation and the internet of things (IoT) to build a more resilient supply chain.

“Our ‘neutral’ stance is based on the stocks under our coverage,” opined analyst Dalilah Fairoz in a sector update. “We have two ‘buy’ calls – one on Inari Amertron Bhd (fair value: RM3.31) and another is Globetronics Technology Bhd (fair value: RM2.84).”

Elsewhere, AmResearch has “hold” ratings on Malaysia Pacific Industries Bhd (fair value: RM36.05) and Pentamaster Corp Bhd (fair value: RM4.99), and one “sell” call on ViTrox Corp Bhd (RM13.24).

“The sector has an overall 3-star environmental, social and governance (ESG) rating as appraised by us in our ESG report on March 23,” added the research house. – June 22, 2021

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