GLOBAL stock markets fell with the greenback gaining ground on Monday as investors waited for news from a host of central bank meetings this week and mulled a future without the US Federal Reserve’s safety net.
The Fed is expected to signal a faster wind-down of asset purchases which could move it one step closer to raising interest rates. Its policy-setting committee will also update its members’ rate expectations over the next couple of years.
The US dollar edged higher ahead of the upcoming meetings with investors eyeing the possibility that the Fed will start to raise rates in 2022.
“(The) central bank rate decisions this week will likely show stocks have to move higher without the help of central bankers,” said Edward Moya, senior analyst at OANDA.
“Volatility will remain elevated throughout all of (these) decisions from the Fed, ECB (European Central Bank) and BOE (Bank of England).”
The ECB, BOE and the Bank of Japan are also meeting this week with each heading toward normalising their own monetary policies.
Fears over the Omicron variant of COVID-19 weighed on US and European markets after British Prime Minister Boris Johnson warned of a “tidal wave” of new cases, and the World Health Organization said it poses a “very high” global risk with some evidence that it evades vaccine protection.
The FTSE index fell 0.83% while the pan-European STOXX 600 index lost 0.43% and MSCI’s gauge of stocks across the globe shed 0.80%.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 320.04 points or 0.89% to 35,650.95, the S&P 500 lost 43.05 point or 0.91% to 4,668.97 and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 217.32 points or 1.39% to 15,413.28.
The US dollar index rose 0.27% with the euro down 0.01% to US$1.1282 as it is seen as vulnerable to a US rate hike given expectations that the Fed will tighten policy more quickly than the ECB.
The benchmark US 10-year Treasury yield fell on Monday and the yield curve flattened as traders prepared for a hawkish tone out of the Federal Reserve at their meeting.
The yield on 10-year Treasury notes was down 6.5 basis points to 1.424% and the 30-year Treasury bond yield was down 6.7 basis points to 1.817%.
The ECB meeting on Thursday is likely to confirm that its 1.85 tril-euro (US$2.09 tril) pandemic emergency stimulus scheme will end next March.
Expectations for a rate hike at Thursday’s BOE meeting have been pulled back as Omicron raises concern about the near-term economic outlook.
Oil futures eased as new doubts emerged about the effectiveness of vaccines against the Omicron coronavirus variant, though OPEC predicted in its monthly report that the variant’s impact on fuel demand would be mild.
Brent futures settled down 1.01% at US$74.39/barrel while US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude settled down 0.53% at US$71.29. – Dec 14, 2021
