No green wave: PH-BN win 31 out of 36 seats in Negri Sembilan

PKR’s Datuyk Seri Aminuddin Harun is slated to be the Menteri Besar for a second term following the Pakatan Harapan-Barisan Nasional (PH-BN) coalition’s victory in Negri Semblan.

Aminuddin who contested in Sikamat garnered 12,730 votes against Bersatu’s Ahmad Raihan Muhamad Hilal who polled 10,068 votes. Both independent candidates Mohammed Hafiz Baharudin and Bujang Abu are expected to lose their deposits.

In Rantau Abang, former menteri besar and Defence Minister Datuk Seri Mohamad Hasan is expected to win the Rantau seat, a state seat which he has defended since 2004.

In total, the PH-BN coalition has won 31 seats of the 36 state seats. This is against four seats bagged by Perikatan Nasional (PN). This will allow the coalition to form the next state government in Negeri Sembilan.

However, majority of the seats won by Barisan Nasional (BN) such as Lenggeng (Majority: 685), Senaling (662), Palong (564), Sg Lui (535), Seri Menanti (370) and Kota (135) are marginal seats.

These seats – despite having majority Malay voters – were won with the help of the non-Malay votes.

BN’s strongholds are Chembong (majority: 4,335), Pertang (2,790), Gemenceh (2,434), Johol (2,117) and Linggi (1,461).

In seats won by PN, the margin shows a strong shift towards the opposition coalition in these state constituencies – Bagan Pinang (majority: 3,426), Gemas (3,120), Serting (843)

Meanwhile, PH’s seats are mainly won with a clear-cut majority, signifying PH still having a stronghold in Negri Sembilan.

In 2018, PH won 20 seats against BN with 16 seats. It is likely that some of these seats will fall into the hands of PN due to a shift in UMNO votes but thankfully non-Malay votes in this state is still solidly with the PH-BN coalition.

This shows that there is after all limited green wave influence in Negri Sembilan which only recorded a 62% turnout by 4pm today. – Aug 12, 2023

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