S&P posts 4th straight decline as recession talk weighs on Wall Street

WALL Street ended lower on Tuesday with the S&P 500 extending its losing streak to four sessions as skittish investors fretted over the US Federal Reserve rate hikes and further talk of a looming recession.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 350.76 points or 1.03% to close at 33,596.34, the S&P 500 lost 57.58 points or 1.44% to finish at 3,941.26 and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 225.05 points or 2% to end on 11,014.89.

Meta Platforms Inc dragged down markets, with its shares sliding 6.8% following reports that European Union (EU) regulators have ruled the company should not require users to agree to personalised ads based on their digital activity.

However, technology names generally suffered as investors applied caution toward high-growth companies whose performance would be sluggish in a challenging economy. Apple Inc, Amazon.com Inc and Alphabet Inc fell between 2.5% and 3% while the tech-heavy Nasdaq was pulled lower for a third straight session.

Most of the 11 major S&P sectors declined, with energy and communications services joining technology as leading laggards. Utilities, a defensive sector often preferred during times of economic uncertainty, was the only exception by gaining 0.7%.

Future economic growth prospects were in focus on Tuesday following comments from financial titans pointing toward uncertain times ahead.

Bank of America Corp’s chief executive predicted three quarters of mild negative growth next year, while JPMorgan Chase and Co’s CEO Jamie Dimon said inflation will erode consumer spending power and that a mild to more pronounced recession was likely ahead.

Their comments came on the heels of recent views from BlackRock and others that believe the Fed’s aggressive monetary tightening to combat stubbornly high price rises could induce an economic downturn in 2023.

“The market is very reactive right now,” said David Sadkin, president at Bel Air Investment Advisors.

He noted that, while markets traditionally reflect the future, right now they are moving up and down based on the latest headlines.

Fears about economic growth come amid a re-evaluation by traders of what path future interest rate hikes will take, following strong data on jobs and the services sector in recent days.

Money market bets are pointing to a 91% chance that the US central bank might raise rates by 50 basis points at its Dec 13-14 policy meeting with rates expected to peak at 4.98% in May 2023, up from 4.92% estimated on Monday before service-sector data was released.

The S&P 500 rallied 13.8% in October and November on hopes of smaller rate hikes and better-than-expected earnings, although such Fed expectations could be undermined by further data releases, including producer prices due out on Friday.

“The market got ahead of itself at the end of November, but then we got some good economic data, so people are re-evaluating what the Fed is going to do next week,” said Bel Air’s Sadkin.

Jitters on the direction of global growth have also weighed on oil prices, with US crude slipping to levels last seen in January, before Russia’s invasion of Ukraine disrupted supply markets. The energy sector fell 2.7% on Tuesday.

Banks are among the most sensitive stocks to an economic downturn as they potentially face negative effects from bad loans or slowing loan growth. The S&P banks index slipped 1.4% to its lowest close since Oct 21.

Volume on US exchanges was 11.01 billion shares in line with the average for the full session over the last 20 trading days.

The S&P 500 posted three new 52-week highs and nine new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 52 new highs and 262 new lows. – Dec 7, 2022

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